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Long paleoseismic records on mature faults suggest potentially chaotic recurrence patterns with cycles of strain accumulation and release that challenge simple slip-or time-predictable recurrence models. In apparent contradiction, the relatively small variability of earthquake recurrence times on these faults is often characterized as quasi-periodic, implying much regularity in the underlying mechanics. To reconcile these observations, we simulate one of the longest paleoearthquake records – the 24-event record from the Hokuri Creek site on the Alpine fault in New Zealand – using a physical model of rate-and state-dependent friction. In a parameter space formed by three non-dimensional parameters, a sea of parameters produces periodic earthquake recurrence behavior. Only a few models are characterized by fundamentally aperiodic recurrence patterns, in parametric islands of chaos. Complex models that produce partial and full ruptures of the Alpine fault can explain the earthquake recurrence behavior of the Alpine fault, reproducing up to 11 consecutive events of the Hokuri Creek paleoseismic record within uncertainties. The breakdown of the slip-and time-predictable recurrence patterns occurs for faults that are much longer than the characteristic nucleation size. The quasi-periodicity of seismic cycles is compatible with the nonlinear and potentially chaotic underlying mechanical system, posing an inherent challenge to long-term earthquake prediction. 

During this study, full-size wood composite sandwich panels, 1.2 m by 2.4 m (4 ft by 8 ft), with a biaxial corrugated core were evaluated as a building construction material. Considering the applications of this new building material, including roof, floor, and wall paneling, sandwich panels with one and two corrugated core(s) were fabricated and experimentally evaluated. Since primary loads applied on these sandwich panels during their service life are live load, snow load, wind, and gravity loads, their bending and compression behavior were investigated. To improve the thermal characteristics, the cavities within the sandwich panels created by the corrugated geometry of the core were filled with a closed-cell foam. The R-values of the sandwich panels were measured to evaluate their energy performance. Comparison of the weight indicated that fabrication of a corrugated panel needs 74% less strands and, as a result, less resin compared to a strand-based composite panel, such as oriented strand board (OSB), of the same size and same density. Bending results revealed that one-layer core sandwich panels with floor applications under a 4.79 kPa (100 psf) bending load are able to meet the smallest deflection limit of L/360 when the span length (L) is 137.16 cm (54 in) or less. The ultimate capacity of two-layered core sandwich panels as a wall member was 94% and 158% higher than the traditional walls with studs under bending and axial compressive loads, respectively. Two-layered core sandwich panels also showed a higher ultimate capacity compared to structural insulated panels (SIP), at 470% and 235% more in bending and axial compression, respectively. Furthermore, normalized R-values, the thermal resistance, of these sandwich panels, even with the presence of thermal bridging due to the core geometry, was about 114% and 109% higher than plywood and oriented strand board, respectively. 

It has been presumed that rheumatoid arthritis (RA) joint pain is related to inflammation in the synovium; however, recent studies reveal that pain scores in patients do not correlate with synovial inflammation. We developed a machine-learning approach (graph-based gene expression module identification or GbGMI) to identify an 815-gene expression module associated with pain in synovial biopsy samples from patients with established RA who had limited synovial inflammation at arthroplasty. We then validated this finding in an independent cohort of synovial biopsy samples from patients who had early untreated RA with little inflammation. Single-cell RNA sequencing analyses indicated that most of these 815 genes were most robustly expressed by lining layer synovial fibroblasts. Receptor-ligand interaction analysis predicted cross-talk between human lining layer fibroblasts and human dorsal root ganglion neurons expressing calcitonin gene–related peptide (CGRP⁺). Both RA synovial fibroblast culture supernatant and netrin-4, which is abundantly expressed by lining fibroblasts and was within the GbGMI-identified pain-associated gene module, increased the branching of pain-sensitive murine CGRP⁺dorsal root ganglion neurons in vitro. Imaging of solvent-cleared synovial tissue with little inflammation from humans with RA revealed CGRP⁺pain-sensing neurons encasing blood vessels growing into synovial hypertrophic papilla. Together, these findings support a model whereby synovial lining fibroblasts express genes associated with pain that enhance the growth of pain-sensing neurons into regions of synovial hypertrophy in RA.